Projected World Cup Bracket ·
Round of 32 → Final, projected from the tournament simulation
- • MANUAL CSV DATA ACTIVE.
- • Bracket structure is a PLACEHOLDER, not the official FIFA 2026 layout — slot pairings will change once the official bracket is loaded.
- • Official third-place → Round-of-32 mapping is not loaded (12+ combinations missing). Third-place opponents are illustrative.
Champion probability
From the precomputed tournament simulation. Click a team for its path.
| Team | Grp | Champion | Final | Semi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | 16.6% | 28.1% | 41.5% | |
| J | 16.3% | 24.5% | 34.7% | |
| I | 8.8% | 14.8% | 23.5% | |
| L | 8.2% | 13.9% | 22.9% | |
| C | 6.7% | 14.3% | 27.1% | |
| F | 5.7% | 11.8% | 22.5% | |
| K | 5.3% | 9.8% | 18.6% | |
| G | 4.9% | 10.3% | 22.1% | |
| C | 4.9% | 9.8% | 18.6% | |
| E | 4.2% | 9.6% | 17.2% | |
| A | 3.1% | 8.4% | 20.8% | |
| L | 2.5% | 5.2% | 13.4% | |
| K | 2.3% | 5.1% | 11.6% | |
| D | 1.8% | 5.5% | 14.4% | |
| F | 1.4% | 4.2% | 11.9% | |
| B | 1.1% | 3.1% | 8.2% |
Round of 32 (16 matches)
Most likely winner group a: Mexico (94%).
Open — top candidate Qatar only 26%.
Most likely winner group b: Canada (55%).
Open — top candidate Scotland only 41%.
Most likely winner group c: Brazil (61%).
Open — top candidate Paraguay only 26%.
Most likely winner group d: United States (99%).
Open — top candidate Sweden only 37%.
Most likely winner group e: Germany (100%).
Open — top candidate Egypt only 17%.
Most likely winner group f: Netherlands (61%).
Open — top candidate Senegal only 28%.
Open — top candidate Egypt only 47%.
Open — top candidate Algeria only 23%.
Most likely winner group h: Spain (83%).
Open — top candidate Ghana only 40%.
Most likely winner group i: France (88%).
Most likely runner-up group a: South Korea (69%).
Most likely winner group j: Argentina (100%).
Most likely runner-up group b: Switzerland (54%).
Most likely winner group k: Colombia (53%).
Most likely runner-up group c: Morocco (62%).
Most likely winner group l: England (92%).
Most likely runner-up group d: Australia (71%).
Most likely runner-up group e: Ivory Coast (80%).
Open — top candidate Japan only 46%.
Most likely runner-up group g: Belgium (54%).
Open — top candidate Cape Verde only 47%.
Most likely runner-up group i: Norway (88%).
Most likely runner-up group j: Austria (68%).
Open — top candidate Portugal only 39%.
Most likely runner-up group l: Croatia (63%).
Round of 16 (8 matches)
Most likely winner round of 32 #1: Mexico (68%).
Open — top candidate Canada only 30%.
Open — top candidate Brazil only 47%.
Most likely winner round of 32 #4: United States (61%).
Most likely winner round of 32 #5: Germany (65%).
Open — top candidate Netherlands only 41%.
Open — top candidate Egypt only 23%.
Most likely winner round of 32 #8: Spain (69%).
Most likely winner round of 32 #9: France (68%).
Most likely winner round of 32 #10: Argentina (81%).
Open — top candidate Morocco only 34%.
Most likely winner round of 32 #12: England (72%).
Open — top candidate Japan only 30%.
Open — top candidate Belgium only 41%.
Open — top candidate Norway only 39%.
Open — top candidate Croatia only 35%.
Quarter-finals (4 matches)
Open — top candidate Mexico only 42%.
Open — top candidate Brazil only 31%.
Open — top candidate Germany only 37%.
Most likely winner round of 16 #4: Spain (52%).
Most likely winner round of 16 #5: Argentina (53%).
Open — top candidate England only 43%.
Open — top candidate Belgium only 26%.
Open — top candidate Croatia only 21%.
Semi-finals (2 matches)
Open — top candidate Brazil only 24%.
Open — top candidate Spain only 37%.
Open — top candidate Argentina only 35%.
Open — top candidate Belgium only 15%.
Final (1 matches)
Open — top candidate Spain only 26%.
Open — top candidate Argentina only 24%.